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See here for the information and tidings latest about the electricity sector. The content is curated by our specialists, considering the importance of the topic for the market.
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TO READ CALMLY

7/12/2024

- For those who are in a hurry and were unable to follow this week's topics:

“*Public Consultations and Regulations*

- Public Consultation No. 179: Contributions to PDE 2034 and PDE 2035. End date: 11/12/2024.

- Public Consultation No. 032/2024: System resilience to climate events. End date: 12/12/2024.

- Public Consultation No. 029/2024: Regulation of the tariff consequences of the early discharge of Covid Accounts and Water Scarcity. End date: 13/12/2024.

*Projects and Policies*

- Offshore Wind Bill: Voting postponed by the Infrastructure Committee for collective hearing.

- PATEN Project: Approved by the Infrastructure Committee without funding for the natural gas sector; awaits a vote in plenary.

- ANEEL - Proinfa quotas: Energy and cost values defined for 2025, excluding the low-income residential subclass.

*Reports and Technical Studies*

- Migration to the ACL: Increase in consumption during nighttime rush hours, according to a study by the EPE, CCEE and ONS.

- Prudential Monitoring: CCEE report points to the effectiveness of the model applied in a shadow period.

- SIN load (2025-2029): Average annual growth forecast of 3.3%.

- Charges and Taxes: Study shows an impact of 46% on electricity sector revenues from taxes and charges.

*Auctions and Business*

- Existing Energy Auction (A-1, A-2, A-3): Conducted by CCEE with closed deals for A-1 (1,621.5 MW average) and A-2 (508.8 MW average), while A-3 closed without contracts.

- Ambar Energia: Purchase of Cemig hydroelectric power plants for R$ 52 million.

- Serena Energia: Hires former Gold Energia partner as head trader, amid market concerns about the company.

- Small Nuclear Reactors: Brazilian Government negotiates international production partnerships with the USA, Russia and China.

*Miscellaneous*

- Innovations: Mercedes-Benz announces revolutionary solar paint for the energy market.

- Compensation for Generation Cut: Injunction of the TRF-1 guarantees full compensation to wind and solar generators for constrained off events after the judgment.

- ANEEL and Distributors: Delayed trial of contractual clauses requiring billion-dollar contributions.”

Source: Canal Energia

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OTHER INFORMATION FOR TODAY

7/12/2024

- SE/CO submarket is expected to end the year above 47% of capacity, says ONS: https://bit.ly/49pno2c

“Projections show reservoirs from the South. Northeast and North ending December with 58%, 45.8% and 46.3% of water storage”.

- Yara begins renewable ammonia production and paves the way for future projects in Cubatão: https://bit.ly/3ZnOCle

“The project, which began three years ago, involved various areas of the company and both internal and external partners.”

- Enel Comercializadora e Trading seeks new partners to expand participation in the Free Energy Market: https://bit.ly/41mGJ25

“To consolidate itself as the largest retail marketer in Brazil, the company seeks partners willing to act in attracting potential customers”.

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ENERGY AUCTIONS (expansion)

7/12/2024

“The only energy auctions of the year ended in the early afternoon of Friday, December 06, with a total duration of about 2:30 hours. In total, an average 2,130.3 MW were made available, divided into lots of 0.1 MW on average. The largest of the three contests was the A-1, with supplies starting in January. The dispute held by the Electric Energy Trading Chamber generated deals totaling just over R$ 6 billion and injecting more than 37.3 million MWh.

> Read more in “Existing energy auctions end with 2,130.3 MW negotiated on average”: https://bit.ly/4gpJWlY

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COMPENSATION FOR GENERATION CUT (generation)

7/12/2024

“The president of the Brazilian Association of Electric Power Distributors, Marcos Madureira, stated this Thursday (05/12) that the court decision determining compensation for the power cut off at wind and solar power plants will affect the electricity rate. For the Abrade executive and the consumer, who already subsidizes tariff discounts for these sources, will pay twice, while also paying the constrained-off charge.

> Learn more in the article “Compensation for power cuts will affect energy rates, Madureira says”: https://bit.ly/3ZGWQGu

> On the subject, also read “The decision on constrained-off is a positive sign, associations are evaluated”: https://bit.ly/3OJ7d6w

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FRAGMENTS EXTRACTED FROM ELECTRA CLIPPING — ISSUE 25/24 OF 06/12/2024

6/12/2024

“- COPEL sells R$ 450 million in 13 small mills to the Electra Group

COPEL sold a lot of power generation assets for R$ 450.5 million to the Electra Group. According to Diogo Mac Cord, Vice President of Strategy, New Business and Digital Transformation at COPEL, with the transaction, the company will focus its efforts on large mills. According to Claudio Alves, president of the Electra Group, the portfolio in SMEs now almost doubles, from 13 to 24, and the company is now among the ten largest in the segment. 73% of the funding came from Jive Mauá, through the issuance of Electra debentures to be acquired by the management company's infrastructure and credit funds.

- CMSE approves storage reference curves for 2025

The Electricity Sector Monitoring Committee (CMSE) approved, this week, the Storage Reference Curves (CREF) for 2025, updating the strategic tool for the management of the National Interconnected System (SIN). The resolution aims to improve the capacity to monitor the storage conditions of hydroelectric power plant reservoirs, making it possible to quickly identify situations that require exceptional measures. The CREFs vary according to the critical nature of the storage, and indicate amounts of thermoelectric generation to guarantee the supply of electricity even in adverse hydrometeorological conditions.

- SIN load is expected to increase by an average of 3.3 between 2025 and 2029

The Electric Energy Trading Chamber (CCEE), the National Electric System Operator (ONS) and the Energy Research Company (EPE) announced that the National Interconnected System (SIN) load is expected to expand at an average annual rate of 3.3% from 2025 to 2029. For this year, studies show an increase of 5.3% compared to 2023, with the result reaching an average of 79,899 MW at the end of the year. The analyses consider the Micro and Mini Distributed Generation and the integration of Roraima into the SIN in February 2026.

- Aneel approves rules for commercialization in 2025

The National Electric Energy Agency (ANEEL) approved, this week, the proposal for the 2025 marketing rules. The proposal, which takes effect in January, brings improvements to the modules resulting from new energy and existing energy auctions and the removal of the Differences Settlement Price (PLD) in the assessment of the penalty for insufficient ballast. Other changes are adjustments as a result of Resolution 1,067/2023, and changes in the methodology for calculating the Structural Unit Variable Cost.

- Prudential monitoring was effective, CCEE points out

Prudential monitoring in the shadow period was effective in mitigating risks in the sector and helped promote the transparency of the trading environment, according to the CCEE. Now, Aneel will open a process for the definitive implementation of the model, which proposes that generators, marketers, and consumers commit to sending their Leverage Factor periodically, which shows the exposure of companies to risks in the market.

- Retail consumer migration should increase the burden on nighttime

The migration of medium and high voltage consumers to the free market should stimulate the burden during nighttime rush hours, according to an analysis carried out by the ONS, EPE and CCEE. This is because, in the free market, consumers can use encouraged energy, benefiting from the discount on the distribution system usage rate (Tusd). In the captive market, they can choose tariff modalities (blue or green) that show a higher cost rate signal during the nighttime rush period, thus reducing consumption.

- Mercado Livre pushes generation expansion and changes auction profile

Among the mills that entered into commercial operation in Brazil in 2024, 84% were destined for the free contracting environment (ACL), according to data from ANEEL. The figures indicate that 299 power plants started operating this year (mostly solar and wind), of which 251 (with 8.5 GW of capacity) focus on the free market. A study by the Brazilian Association of Electric Energy Dealers (Abraceel) shows that the projects scheduled to start operating by 2030 have a 93% share of projects for sale in the free market.

- ANA resolution enables improvements for reservoirs in the wet season

New resolutions from the National Water and Sanitation Agency should help accelerate the recovery of the reservoirs at the headwaters of the Grande and Paranaíba rivers, especially the Furnas and Emborcação UHEs. The measures impose flow restrictions at the beginning of the wet period. Simulations carried out by the ONS indicate that the maximum average monthly runoff will be 500 m³/s and 140 m³/s, respectively, which corresponds to about 35% and 14% of their respective maximum turbining capacities. The resolution also covers the Mascarenhas de Moraes and Itumbiara power plants.

- Aneel must propose a solution for generation cuts in the first half of 2025, says director general

The director general of ANEEL, Sandoval Feitosa, said that the agency must propose, in the first half of 2025, solutions for power cuts. The shortailment problem is expected to be reversed before the next “windy harvest”. “It's important for companies and thematic associations to understand that ANEEL is making its best efforts. What we can't, in any way, is to seek the easiest solution, which is simply to impute that cost to the electricity consumer,” he said.

- Summer rains should guarantee the recovery of reservoirs, predicts Climatempo

Clima tempo forecasts that the storage levels of hydroelectric reservoirs will remain above 70% in the Southeast/Midwest, with the intense and frequent rainfall of October and November in the Paraná river basin expected to remain above average in the summer months. The positive configuration of the wet period, raising water levels, enabled a reduction in the price of energy, from the ceiling to the minimum level, in a short period of time

- Bill for the opening of the market should be in February, estimates Abraceel

Abraceel believes that the bill to open the market should be submitted by the government starting in February. This horizon is due to the approaching end of the term of office of the current presidents of the Chamber and the Senate. The text is expected to be simple and without details about the process. Among the points of attention that need to be addressed is the issue of subsidies and other costs that are left for consumers to pay.”

Source: Electra Clipping— Issue 25/24 of 06/12/2024

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